Daily detail
Czech Day-Ahead Market · pick a date to inspect the quarter-hourly profile
—Enexa + ENX_H + EPEX + OTE · this day
Delivery date · availability
ORGENXACT
Level — forecast accuracy (EUR/MWh & %)
MAE
org—
enx—
enx_h—
EUR/MWh · lower is better
RMSE
org—
enx—
enx_h—
EUR/MWh · penalizes large errors
Bias
org—
enx—
enx_h—
EUR/MWh · + over · − under
SMAPE
org—
enx—
enx_h—
% · scale-free error
Shape — how well the daily profile is followed
Pearson R
org—
enx—
enx_h—
linear correlation · 1.0 = perfect
Detrended MAE
org—
enx—
enx_h—
EUR/MWh · shape error after bias removal
Direction match
org—
enx—
enx_h—
% QH transitions same way · ↑ better
Peak timing Δ
org—
enx—
enx_h—
minutes · + late · − early
Order & spread — trading KPIs
Spearman R
org—
enx—
enx_h—
rank correlation · order of hours
Peak-8 hit
org—
enx—
enx_h—
% of priciest 2h found · ↑ better
Cheap-8 hit
org—
enx—
enx_h—
% of cheapest 2h found · ↑ better
Captured spread
org—
enx—
enx_h—
% · battery dispatch vs perfect foresight
P10–P90 coverage
org—
enx—
enx_h—
% inside band · target 80%
Top-8 most expensive QH · peak window identification
filled = in top-8 · gold outline = correctly identifiedENX
ENX_H
ORG
ACT
00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Top-8 cheapest QH · charge window identification
filled = in bottom-8 · gold outline = correctly identifiedENX
ENX_H
ORG
ACT
00:0003:0006:0009:0012:0015:0018:0021:00
Peak hits — / 8 · — / 8 · — / 8Cheap hits — / 8 · — / 8 · — / 8
Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Delivery 2026-06-03 · 96 QH slots · forecast only
aligned to Europe/Prague
Forecast mean117.35EUR/MWh
Actual mean—
Forecast range96.0 – 138.4
Worst QH—